Comments on: Statistics hero Nate Silver predicts Oscar results http://www.5circles.com/wordpress/blog/2009/02/nate-silver-oscars/mike-pritchard/ Market Research Commentary with an Edge Wed, 28 Jul 2010 16:13:03 -0700 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.9.2 hourly 1 By: Mike Pritchard (That Research Guy) http://www.5circles.com/wordpress/blog/2009/02/nate-silver-oscars/mike-pritchard/comment-page-1/#comment-26 Mike Pritchard (That Research Guy) Fri, 22 May 2009 20:21:38 +0000 http://www.5circles.com/wordpress/blog/?p=53#comment-26 Funny you should mention the post event analysis. I tweeted <blockquote>Nate Silver gets it wrong! (supporting actress)</blockquote> but I didn't update the blog post. If I remember correctly, he was wrong on the only prediction that was not obvious. C'est la vie. At the WTIA predictions dinner in Seattle, there is usually some continuity in the panel, and so they have to 'fess up on how well they did from the previous year. A while back, I used to attend the PriceWaterhouse technology predictions events (can't remember the title). These were based on work done internally by some of the senior analysts - largely interview based I think. The presenter was asked what was his biggest failure, to which he responded 'the Blackberry'. He was bemused by its rapid takeoff, and the fact that many of his colleagues were suffering from 'carpal thumb syndrome'. Funny you should mention the post event analysis. I tweeted

Nate Silver gets it wrong! (supporting actress)

but I didn’t update the blog post. If I remember correctly, he was wrong on the only prediction that was not obvious. C’est la vie.

At the WTIA predictions dinner in Seattle, there is usually some continuity in the panel, and so they have to ‘fess up on how well they did from the previous year.

A while back, I used to attend the PriceWaterhouse technology predictions events (can’t remember the title). These were based on work done internally by some of the senior analysts – largely interview based I think. The presenter was asked what was his biggest failure, to which he responded ‘the Blackberry’. He was bemused by its rapid takeoff, and the fact that many of his colleagues were suffering from ‘carpal thumb syndrome’.

]]> By: Jaremy http://www.5circles.com/wordpress/blog/2009/02/nate-silver-oscars/mike-pritchard/comment-page-1/#comment-25 Jaremy Thu, 21 May 2009 20:11:28 +0000 http://www.5circles.com/wordpress/blog/?p=53#comment-25 Nate Silver is absolutely fascinating to me. He has done (and continues to do) a great deal of work for Baseball Prospectus looking at oft-ignored or underutilized statistics. It was great to see him take that same approach with the 2008 election, and it's fun that he did the same for the Oscars. Did anyone analyze his results afterward? It's always amusing to me that nobody ever really analyzes analysts' analyses. :-) Nate Silver is absolutely fascinating to me. He has done (and continues to do) a great deal of work for Baseball Prospectus looking at oft-ignored or underutilized statistics. It was great to see him take that same approach with the 2008 election, and it’s fun that he did the same for the Oscars. Did anyone analyze his results afterward? It’s always amusing to me that nobody ever really analyzes analysts’ analyses. :-)

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